Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual9/1/2045 49.1%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
13 sept 25, 3:20 UTC2 sept 45, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will be my gender in 2028
Manifold MarketsWill I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill legal gender change be possible in Hungary before April 2030?
Manifold MarketsNew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
KalshiMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiIs Earth flat?
PolymarketReglas
I'm a 30 year old male who came very close to starting female hormones this year but decided not to do so.
- Each option will resolve on its respective date to 'yes' if I wish, with the benefit of hindsight, that I had taken hormones in 2025.
- If on that date I don't regret my 2025 decision, the option will resolve 'no'.
- Reasons I was considering transitioning:
- It would suit my feminine personality and style
- I wanted to be hot, male body does not appeal to me
Mercados abiertos
Society & CultureKALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 18 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,9 mil €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volumen total
- 799,2 €
- Volumen 24h
- 799,2 €
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volumen total
- 50,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 558,3 €
POLYMARKETIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Yes+9.0pt58.4%
- No-9.0pt41.6%
- Volumen total
- 7,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 542,3 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Volumen total
- 20 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 528,3 €
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volumen total
- 522,5 €
- Volumen 24h
- 522,5 €
- Will Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
- MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will I regret not changing my gender?
- Manifold Markets cotiza 9/1/2045 al 49% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will I regret not changing my gender?
- Está previsto que When will I regret not changing my gender se resuelva el 2 de septiembre de 2045.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will I regret not changing my gender?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I'm a 30 year old male who came very close to starting female hormones this year but decided not to do so.