Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?
One-OffAdopciónNegocios y empresas1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72.4%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado24 jun 26, 13:57 UTC27 ago 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?
Manifold MarketsWill an action transformer model make it finally to batch-ask questions from a .txt to Manifold Markets via terminal?
Manifold MarketsWhat percentage of current Manifold.Markets users asking questions that resolve in 2030 will close out their own post?
Manifold MarketsWill manifold markets be referenced in a Simpson's episode by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Manifold MarketsCompany “1X” ships 10,000 humanoid robots in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before August 28, 2028, at 11:59 PM UTC, at least one user referred to Manifold Markets by the market creator has created 100 or more public questions.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definitions & Rules:
- A referred user is defined as anyone who signed up for Manifold Markets using the creator's referral link, or is otherwise verified by the creator or Manifold database as having been referred by the creator.
- The count of created questions will be determined by the number of public markets shown under the "Created" tab on the referred user's Manifold profile.
