Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 57.2%
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24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado17 mar 24, 23:57 UTC1 ene 41, 4:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
As of 2023, Google Search has 91% market share in search engine, when the second most popular search engine only has 3% market share
- https://www.reliablesoft.net/top-10-search-engines-in-the-world/
- Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
- Data source for resolution not determined yet.
- In 2040 myself or a mod will find a credible data source on users statistics of popular search engines and resolve this market base on that.
- If certain LLMs end up powering a major feature of a search engine, whereby users' inputs return a list of websites as output, these would also be considered a search engine as well.
