Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: No (97.9%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 0:07
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
No
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 5:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes2.1%
No97.9%
Ganada
Perdida
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Resolves YES if, before 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC, Google publicly releases a model whose official Google-given name contains "Gemini 3.5 Pro", available to the general public — paid tiers and public previews both count — through at least one of: the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, or the Gemini API.
- Named oracle (in priority order): 1.
- Google's official model documentation at https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models 2.
- Official Google announcement posts on https://blog.google/ or https://deepmind.google/ DOES count: a public preview / "experimental" tag, as long as any member of the public can access it (including behind a paid subscription).
- Does NOT count: - Internal-only, invitation-only, or trusted-tester access. - Benchmark appearances, leaks, model-string sightings, or press reports without a Google release. - A Pro-tier model shipped under a DIFFERENT name (e.g. "Gemini 3.6 Pro", "Gemini 3.7 Pro", "Gemini 4 Pro").
- This market is specifically about the "3.5 Pro" name.