Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 81.2%
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 24, 0:29 UTC2 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will global peak oil production occur before 2027?
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KalshiTexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
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KalshiGlobal carbon emissions peak when ?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2025 levels in 2026 or 2027.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
Mercados abiertos
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 414,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 265,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 resultados más
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 126,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 126,9 mil €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 113,1 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 112,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 110,5 mil €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will global peak oil production occur before 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will global peak oil production occur before 2026??
- Está previsto que Will global peak oil production occur before 2026? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will global peak oil production occur before 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.