¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will global peak oil production occur before 2028??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60.2% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will global peak oil production occur before 2028??

Está previsto que Will global peak oil production occur before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 60.2%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 horas

Desactualizado

13 ene 26, 14:48 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

"Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.

It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
Resolves YES if total world oil production in 2028 and 2029 are below a peak reached during or before the year 2027, AND there is a majority consensus among energy economy experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2027.
Resolves NO if world total oil production is reported to be above 2027 levels in any of the two years following.
[image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html