Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 74.9%
Sí 74.9%Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 24, 1:38 UTC2 ene 33, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2031 and 2032 from a peak in or before the year 2030, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2030.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2030 levels in 2031 or 2032.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
