Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
One-OffSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 87.9%
Pronosticadores
59
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado3 abr 24, 7:06 UTC31 dic 26, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Manifold MarketsWhen will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Manifold MarketsWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiReglas
Final entry in main book series - does not include short stories, Simarillion style additional content, etc.
- Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Resolution Deadline Extended: The deadline for resolving the market has been extended by 12 months.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volumen total
- 18,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 15,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volumen total
- 136,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series??
- Está previsto que Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Final entry in main book series - does not include short stories, Simarillion style additional content, etc.