Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.PolíticaElecciónSociedad y cultura2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 94.8%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 25 minutos
23 ago 24, 5:12 UTC2 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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This resolves YES if
- The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
- A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
- A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.