Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86.6%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado3 feb 26, 5:03 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the combined mass of all Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launches to orbit in 2027 exceeds the combined mass of all Starship launches to orbit in 2027.
- It resolves NO if Starship launches more total mass to orbit than Falcon 9/Heavy combined.
- Mass is measured as the actual payload delivered to orbit, not including rocket stages or fairings such as the starship vehicle.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
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- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria