Will evidence emerge that Bo Xilai kidnapped Xi Jinping during a power struggle prior to Xi's ascension to Chairman?
PolíticaOne-OffChinaCrimen y justicia1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 22 oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.9%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado9 abr 23, 10:42 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
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It is well known that Xi Jinping literally disappeared from existence (both in person and on the internet) for approximately two weeks during the runnup to the 2013 Party Congress where he would ultimately take power after reemerging from wherever he went with no explanation to this day.
- However, very shortly thereafter his primary rival for top job, Bo Xilai, was arrested and ultimately convincted of crimes largely attributed to his wife and sentenced to lifetime house arrest.
- There has long been speculation that something happened between these two that explains both Xi's disappearance and Bo's subsequent imprisionment and Xi's extensive purges of all rival factions as undisputed People's Leader.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This prediction market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2027, any of the following occurs:
- A reputable and widely recognized news organization publishes a report, based on verified and credible sources, that clearly indicates Bo Xilai's responsibility for Xi Jinping's disappearance prior to becoming president.
