Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.6%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado6 may 26, 21:34 UTC1 ene 28, 22:28 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Euphoria: New season announcement date
KalshiWill The Rehearsal get renewed for a 3rd season?
Manifold MarketsWill Smiling Friends be renewed for a 6th season by Adult Swim by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Creator Sam Levinson has stated he has “no plans” for a Season 4, saying he writes “every season like it’s the last season” and wants to “deliver a slam dunk” with Season 3.
- Zendaya has also hinted strongly that the series is coming to an end with Season 3.
- However, the case for renewal isn’t closed.
- HBO’s advertising for the Season 3 finale labels it a “season finale” rather than a “series finale.” HBO CEO Casey Bloys has said he and Levinson will have a conversation about “what he’s thinking” after Season 3 wraps.
- This market resolves YES if HBO officially announces a Season 4 renewal.
- It resolves NO if no renewal is announced by that date, or Levinson officially confirms Season 3 is the series finale.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 342,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91,2 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 resultados más
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,6 mil €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4??
- Está previsto que Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Euphoria be renewed for Season 4??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Creator Sam Levinson has stated he has “no plans” for a Season 4, saying he writes “every season like it’s the last season” and wants to “deliver a slam dunk” with Season 3.