Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 94.7%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado2 dic 24, 18:45 UTC1 jun 27, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Emmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
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Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
Manifold MarketsWill Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump resign during his term?
KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Emmanuel Macron formally resigns from the office of President of France before the scheduled end of his term in May 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if Macron completes his term or if his presidency ends through other means (such as impeachment, death, or medical incapacity).
- For resolution purposes:
- A temporary transfer of power (such as during medical procedures) does not count as resignation
- The resignation must be formally accepted according to French constitutional procedures
