Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 82.1%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado27 jun 26, 10:57 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point, Elon Musk's net worth is officially recorded at $1.5 trillion USD or higher by either of the following trackers:
- Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index
- If neither tracker reports Musk's net worth reaching or exceeding $1.5 trillion by Elon Musk's death, this market will resolve to NO.
- If one of the tracking indexes is permanently discontinued or becomes inaccessible, the remaining index will serve as the sole source of truth.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Está previsto que Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria