Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50%
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1
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 26, 11:00 UTC5 nov 30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate??
- Está previsto que Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate? se resuelva el 5 de noviembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria