Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 91.6%
Pronosticadores
96
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado27 dic 22, 16:01 UTC1 ene 30, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich celebrities/public figures will serve prison time as a result of evidence from either Epstein or Diddy files?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk serve any prison sentence before November 2032?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurReglas
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence.
- It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing.
- House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison.
- However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
- Resolves NO if the above hasn't happened before 1 Jan 2030, 0000hrs UTC.
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
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+39 resultados más
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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+4 resultados más
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- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,9 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
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- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence.