Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72%
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado10 feb 24, 23:23 UTC1 ene 40, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will every non-Trump US president have studied at law school or served in the military until 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be the last US president?
Manifold Markets"Donald Trump US president at any point between Jan 21, 2029, and Jan 20, 2033?"
Manifold MarketsTrump is US President on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExReglas
Resolves as YES if Donald Trump is president of the United States when artificial general intelligence is first created.
