Will Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?
PolíticaWeeklyPolítica de EE. UU.Materias primasElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20264d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 72.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 45 minutos
Retrasado14 sept 26, 5:35 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if democrats get 12x the us average gas price or more in the us house popular vote.
- https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- On election day, Tuesday November 3 2026, I will 12x the us average gas price for the day.
- If the average is $4.2000, then democrats must get 50.4% of the vote or higher.
- If the average is $5, democrats must get 60% of the popular vote in the us house elections.
- Here is democrats 2024 vote percent for example, the value on Wikipedia for 2026, which comes from official stats will be used.