Will Democratic candidate Josh Turek win Dubuque County in the IA-SEN election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección27dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 80.8%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado17 sept 26, 3:00 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Democratic candidate Josh Turek wins the highest number of individual votes in Dubuque County, Iowa, in the United States Senate election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican Ashley Hinson or Libertarian Thomas Laehn) wins the highest number of votes in the county, or in the event of a tie.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If certified results are delayed, unofficial results or credible major media calls (e.g., Associated Press) may be used for resolution once 100% of precincts in Dubuque County have reported.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the next occurrence of this election.
