Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
RegulaciónOne-OffTecnologíaIABusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.5%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado1 sept 26, 15:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis remains officially employed by or holds an active formal role (such as Chairman, Chief Scientist, CEO, Board Member, or Senior Advisor) at Alphabet Inc., Google, Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs, or any other Alphabet subsidiary as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, if his formal employment or official affiliation has ended or his departure has taken effect on or before this date, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key details and edge cases:
- An announcement of an impending departure where his final day is scheduled to take place after December 31, 2026, will resolve to YES.
- If his departure has been officially announced and takes effect on or before December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
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- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria