Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 65%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 46 minutos
Retrasado28 may 26, 4:24 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an official report from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), or the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) states that data centers consumed more than 10.0% of total U.S. electricity usage (or retail sales, consumption, or grid demand) during the calendar year 2028.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details:
- Primary Source of Truth: Reports such as the LBNL/DOE Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use (available at energy.gov) or the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook / Electric Power Annual (available at eia.gov) covering the calendar year 2028.
- Calculation Fallback: If the report does not explicitly state a final percentage but provides both the U.S. data center electricity consumption (in TWh or BkWh) and total U.S. electricity consumption/sales (in TWh or BkWh) for 2028, the percentage will be calculated as: $$\text{Percentage} = \left(\frac{\text{U.S. Data Center Consumption}}{\text{Total U.S. Electricity Consumption}}\right) \times 100$$