Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20262m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69.1%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
3 mar 26, 13:59 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth be appointed to the Tennessee US Senate Seat?
Manifold MarketsNebraska Senate election: Dan Osborn vote percent
KalshiWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if Dan Osborn wins the U.S. Senate election for Nebraska held on November 3, 2026, and NO otherwise.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Nebraska Secretary of State or major news outlets reporting the final vote count.
- Osborn ran a surprisingly competitive campaign in 2024 against Senator Deb Fischer, losing by a narrow margin, and is now running against Republican Senator Pete Ricketts.
- His 2024 performance was the best ever for an independent candidate in a Nebraska US Senate race.
- Osborn is a mechanic and Navy veteran running as an independent.
