Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIATecnología1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 90%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 26, 16:46 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)
KalshiWill Olivia Rodrigo’s you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love win Album of the Year at the 2027 Grammys?
Manifold MarketsWill "An analysis of AI-generated content at the Me..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "How I talk to those above me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Can Claude teach me to make coffee?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
