Will "Cognitive Security as an AI Safety Cause Area" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
IAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88.8%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado26 may 26, 13:56 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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FutuurReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Cognitive Security as an AI Safety Cause Area is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
