Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 69%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado21 abr 26, 19:52 UTC22 ene 31, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiReglas
Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.
- This can be inferred from reporting or company announcements about how their ad was produced
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
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- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
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- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? se resuelva el 22 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.