Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 6:35 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.9%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado8 abr 26, 14:20 UTC30 jun 27, 4:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
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This market resolves YES if China April 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 80 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending April 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 80 tonnes for April 2027 NO if: Export volume below 80 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)