Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffCiencia1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado11 abr 26, 23:36 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Chicken-Free Egg Whites is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abiertos
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- December 31+0.1pt4%
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- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 resultados más
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- 153,9 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
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- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
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- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
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- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
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- Yes-3.6pt77%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.