Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
No 53.6%
No 53.6%Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado7 ago 24, 15:17 UTC1 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Biden to die before 2028 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiReglas
End of Biden's hypothetical second term: January 20, 2029.
- If Biden dies on or before this date, the market resolves to yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.