Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 24 oct 2026, 15:31 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.2%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 19 minutos
11 mar 26, 5:16 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The Bay Area Rapid Transit system is facing a fiscal cliff, and there is going to be a ballot measure to raise taxes in the Bay Area to pay for it.
- BART is claiming that if they do not get extra funding, they will close 10 stations in January 2027.
- Resolves YES if two or more stations close in 2027.
- These closures must be indefinite (so a temporary closure to perform maintenance would not count).
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.