Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 53.5%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado18 jun 24, 5:48 UTC1 ene 29, 6:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a complete, professional looking comic book adaptation of HPMOR, before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Mikael Akerfeldt and Steven Wilson work on a successor of Storm Corrosion in May 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketReglas
Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.
- Will the author, Steven Brust, successfully complete both works, with them published in any form, before January 1st, 2029?
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 342,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 91,2 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 182,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 resultados más
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,6 mil €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,3 mil €
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028??
- Está previsto que Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Per https://dragaera.fandom.com/wiki/Book_list, the Dragaera series is planned to have 19 books, 17 of which have been published, with Chreotha and The Last Contract remaining.