Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
TecnologíaOne-OffSpace4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 81%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado25 ago 26, 9:41 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis 3 be a crewed moon landing?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, during the first crewed lunar surface landing of the Artemis program, at least one of the astronauts who descends to and physically sets foot on the Moon's surface is a woman.
- This market resolves to NO if the first crewed lunar landing occurs and the landing crew—specifically those who physically set foot on the surface—is entirely male.
- Rules and Edge Cases:
- Only Surface Walkers Count: Resolution is based strictly on the astronauts who descend to and walk on the lunar surface.
- Crew members who remain in lunar orbit (e.g., aboard the Orion spacecraft or Gateway) do not count.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 81% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ??
- Está previsto que Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria