Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 5.0 kg by Dec 2030?
RegulaciónOne-Off4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 64.1%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado19 feb 26, 15:16 UTC31 dic 30, 5:00 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 5.0 kg by 2030-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2030-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2029-07-04 to 2030-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities