Will ASP Isotopes Yb-176 output (15m trailing, 3m lag) exceed 4.0 kg by Dec 2029?
RegulaciónOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.9%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado19 feb 26, 15:16 UTC31 dic 29, 5:00 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves YES if Ytterbium-176 production from ASP Isotopes in the last 15 months (excluding the last 3 months) exceeds 4.0 kg by 2029-12-31.
- Measurement methodology:
- Calculate total Ytterbium-176 production that was completed during the 15-month period ending 3 months before the settlement date
- For 2029-12-31 settlement: measure production from 2028-07-04 to 2029-10-02
- "Production" means enriched Ytterbium-176 that reached target purity (≥99.75%)
- Sum all production from ASP Isotopes' Quantum Enrichment facilities