Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 51.4%
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4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado22 jul 26, 12:36 UTC1 jun 29, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Description:
- Resolves YES if NASA's Artemis V mission (the planned crewed lunar landing following Artemis IV) successfully lifts off before January 1, 2029.
- Resolves NO if the launch has not occurred by that date, including if the mission is cancelled, indefinitely delayed, or restructured such that "Artemis V" no longer refers to a crewed lunar landing mission.
- Background: As of July 2026, NASA anticipates launching Artemis V, using the standardized configuration of the SLS rocket, by late 2028, with future missions about once per year thereafter.
- However, no crew or lander has yet been assigned to the mission, and the Artemis schedule has been restructured before.
- Given the program's history of schedule slips, a significant delay versus the "late 2028" target could occur.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 944,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 721,8 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volumen total
- 620 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536 mil €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- Está previsto que Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? se resuelva el 1 de junio de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Description: