Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 95.9%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado18 dic 23, 0:08 UTC1 feb 32, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Artemis 3 return to Earth with all of its crew alive?
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FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
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KalshiReglas
This market closes when Artemis 5 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-artemis-2-return-to-earth-with
- @/jks/will-artemis-3-return-to-earth-with
- @/jks/will-artemis-4-return-to-earth-with
- @/jks/will-artemis-5-return-to-earth-with (this question)
- @/jks/will-artemis-6-return-to-earth-with
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive??
- Está previsto que Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2032.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Artemis 5 return to Earth with all of its crew alive??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market closes when Artemis 5 returns to Earth (resolves YES), a member of its crew dies during the mission (resolves NO), or the mission is scrapped before T–0 (resolves N/A), whichever occurs first.