Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 86.8%
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado15 dic 22, 18:14 UTC1 ene 30, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will anyone die from falling debris from a Space X rocket, satellite , or other launch object before the end of 2026?
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FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketReglas
If it's unknown where exactly the death occurred, there must be a >=50% chance it occurred at least that far away.
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 103,1 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volumen total
- 57,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,9 mil €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
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- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will anyone die at least 1000km from Earth before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If it's unknown where exactly the death occurred, there must be a >=50% chance it occurred at least that far away.