Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (58.7%)
Resuelto: 11 ago 2026, 3:59
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 58.7%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 días
Desactualizado11 ago 26, 1:5211 ago 26, 3:59
Tendencias
58.7%
41.3%
Reglas
Resolves YES if: Before January 1, 2027, any U.S. state imposes a legally binding, statewide moratorium or pause — lasting at least 3 months or indefinite — on either (a) permitting/approval of new hyperscale or AI data centers, or (b) new large-load data center interconnections to the electric grid.
- • Qualifying instruments: state statute (signed into law), governor’s executive order, or a binding public utility commission order applying to all major investor-owned utilities in the state.
- • “Statewide” = applies across the state or to substantially all new hyperscale development in it.
- County/municipal moratoria do NOT count regardless of how many exist.
- • Carve-outs (e.g., exempting projects already permitted, or facilities under some MW threshold) are fine as long as the pause covers the bulk of prospective new hyperscale capacity.
- • Does NOT count: suspension of tax incentives alone, study commissions without a binding pause, voluntary utility pauses on connection requests, or bills passed by one chamber.
