Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027?
One-OffSociety & Culture8mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.9%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado25 jul 26, 15:20 UTC1 jun 27, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This will resolve by taking the median grant size by charity of the charities that got grants from Project for Awesome 2027, and then doubling it.
- If any EA charity gets a grant greater than this number, resolves YES; otherwise, resolves no.
- As a worked example for a hypothetical distribution:
- Say there are 5 charities that receive grants, and they get $10k, $10k, $10k, $10k and $50k respectively.
- Then the median grant is $10k, so twice the median grant is $20k.
- The charity that got $50k would have got more than twice the median grant.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027??
- Está previsto que Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027? se resuelva el 1 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any EA charity get a grant more than twice the median grant for Project for Awesome 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This will resolve by taking the median grant size by charity of the charities that got grants from Project for Awesome 2027, and then doubling it.