Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 57%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado24 nov 22, 22:48 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?
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KalshiReglas
Clarification - humanoid robots.
- See similar market on Tesla: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-tesla-sell-1b-of-humanoid-robo
- Nov 24, 2:54pm: Will any company sell >$1B of robots before 2030? → Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030?
- Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
- The revenue threshold of >$1B is measured in 2023 dollars.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 536,7 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 resultados más
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- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
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- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any company sell >$1B of humanoid robots before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Clarification - humanoid robots.