Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027?
One-OffIA3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 72.3%
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado11 jul 22, 19:56 UTC1 ene 27, 5:00 UTC
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To clarify: the experiment is that there are two copies of an agent that runs on Minecraft (or some other open world game environment).
- The agent has the capacity to be fine-tuned with text.
- One version is passed a manual for the game as text (or text + images, but *not* video), the other runs without any finetuning.
- Will the former perform better than the latter (either better sample efficiency or better final reward)?
- The agent can't have been trained on that env before, but it can be trained on other envs/data beforehand (e.g. it's okay if there's a pretrained LLM in the loop).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027??
- Está previsto que Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any agent perform better on Minecraft (or comparable open world game) after being fine-tuned on a manual by 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: To clarify: the experiment is that there are two copies of an agent that runs on Minecraft (or some other open world game environment).