Will an openly gay man become president of the United States before a woman becomes president?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección16a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 79.8%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado25 jun 24, 2:31 UTC21 ene 43, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met or the office of President of the United States is abolished.
- For purposes of this market, "openly gay man" and "woman" describe someone who identifies as a such at the time of the respective event.
- If an individual became President of the United States and then only later identified as an "openly gay man" or "woman" after leaving the Presidency, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to regain the presidency).
- I will not bet in this market.
- @/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a
