Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.3%
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23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado17 abr 24, 2:06 UTC2 ene 75, 7:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
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PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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PolymarketReglas
This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.
- For example, if a person were to land on an asteroid and walk completely around it, that would resolve to Yes.
- If a rover were to do the same thing, that would also be Yes.
- If a balloon/plane/helicopter were to float or fly completely around a planet or moon with an atmosphere, that would also be Yes.
- Merely orbiting an object would not count.
- Ambiguous cases like a person walking around a small protuberance on an asteroid instead of the main body would also resolve to No.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075??
- Está previsto que Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2075.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.