Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.1%
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9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado26 may 25, 6:58 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if SM64 is known to be beatable with 120 stars in less than 13 A presses on any official release.
- More information here: https://ukikipedia.net/wiki/A_Button_Challenge
- Most people familiar with the game believe the A press in Bowser in the Fire Sea is theoretically savable, but it's a very complicated level that has seen slow progress for 7 years now.
- Even though a slow strategy seems likely to work, people are waiting to tas the full level until they find a faster strategy, which would be likely to be very complicated.
- There are also 12 other a presses with varying degrees of promise, but none currently have any serious plans for a save.
- Generally, I will count an A press as being "saved" when it is completely console verified (usually these are live streamed on twitch).
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+42.0pt76%
- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
- 960 - 970m+0.2pt1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 296,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 88,6 mil €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+32.0pt61%
- Jack Barton-2.0pt19%
- Callum Turner-11.0pt16%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
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- Jack Lowden+13.1pt32%
- No Bond chosen-7.6pt16%
- Jack Barton+0.9pt14%
+21 resultados más
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- Yash Patel+4.0pt28.4%
- Barrett Pfeiffer+2.0pt18.4%
- Drew Campbell-1.0pt12.8%
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- Volumen total
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- 70-80M+8.7pt63.6%
- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
+4 resultados más
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- The Odyssey52%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball11%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,1 mil €
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027?
- Está previsto que Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if SM64 is known to be beatable with 120 stars in less than 13 A presses on any official release.