Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 69.9%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado9 mar 24, 22:45 UTC1 mar 32, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will AI extend English before 2031?
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PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that at least 16 AI-generated words or phrases have become commonly used in the English language before January 1st 2032.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031
- @/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2032 (this question)
- Other questions for 2032:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 20,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 8 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 84,1 mil €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 652,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,4 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 865,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volumen total
- 915,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will AI extend English before 2032??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will AI extend English before 2032??
- Está previsto que Will AI extend English before 2032? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2032.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will AI extend English before 2032??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that at least 16 AI-generated words or phrases have become commonly used in the English language before January 1st 2032.