Will strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
ClimaDaily6a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosPronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.2%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado7 may 24, 4:48 UTC1 ene 33, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before strong AGI is achieved?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman be CEO of Open AI when Strong AGI is achieved by any organization?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?
Manifold MarketsHow strong will Trudy be?
PolymarketHow strong will Champi be?
PolymarketReglas
AGI as defined by Manifold's official market, and/or societal consensus
- Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
- Market open until one happens
