Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
WeatherDaily6a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 70.2%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado7 may 24, 4:55 UTC1 ene 33, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will OpenAI discover a room temp superconductor in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiReglas
Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus
- Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
- Market open until one happens
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 586,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 568,4 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volumen total
- 108,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 108,2 mil €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99??
- Está previsto que Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus