Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.2%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
12 sept 26, 21:53 UTC4 nov 26, 22:49 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan?
Manifold MarketsAbdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will Abdul El Sayed and Mike rogers debate?
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExMichigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
KalshiMichigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiReglas
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.
- This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points.
- It resolves no otherwise.
- I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
- I may trade on this market.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-3.2pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 27,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 191,9 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
- Volumen total
- 28,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 728,5 mil €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+2.0pt56%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt44%
- Volumen total
- 11,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 609,2 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.4pt55.6%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt43.4%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Está previsto que Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.