Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 83%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
12 sept 26, 21:53 UTC4 nov 26, 22:49 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Abdul El-Sayed said in May he would beat Mike Rogers by 7.
- This question resolves yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate race by greater than or equal to 7 points.
- It resolves no otherwise.
- I will use the certified results as ground truth, but I will probably resolve this the day after the election based on the New York Times results page if the resolution is obvious.
- I may trade on this market.
