¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68.2% a fecha de 31 de octubre de 2026.

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 68.2%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 22 minutos

18 mar 24, 15:37 UTC21 ene 33, 6:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.

For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event.
If an astronaut or politician walked on the moon or became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving the moon or the Presidency, respectively, then that would not satisfy the criteria (unless they were to return to the moon or regain the presidency).
I will not bet in this market.
@/jks/will-a-woman-walk-on-mars-before-a