Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 70.5%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 feb 24, 2:02 UTC1 ene 31, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
resolves yes if an entire asteroid of any size (greater than 5 pounds) is recovered on earth by 2030.
- If this has already happened it does not count, it has to be between now and market resolution.
- I don't understand why this isn't implied in all questions 🙄
Mercados abiertos
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- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
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- 103,1 mil €
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- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
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- 57,4 mil €
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- 57,4 mil €
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- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
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- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
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- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030?
- Está previsto que will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida will a whole asteroid be recovered on earth by 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: resolves yes if an entire asteroid of any size (greater than 5 pounds) is recovered on earth by 2030.