Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (97.8%)
Resuelto: 13 oct 2026, 13:12
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 13 oct 2026, 12:32 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes2.2%
No97.8%
Ganada
Perdida
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any currently serving United States Senator dies between the creation of this market and October 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Currently serving U.S. Senator: An individual who is an active, sworn member of the United States Senate at the time of their death.
- Former senators, senators-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and members of the House of Representatives do not qualify.
- Timing of death: The death must be officially confirmed to have occurred before October 1, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.